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With elections less than two weeks away, a poll released Oct. 23 shows that Virginia voters identifying as Republican or Democrat are split almost evenly along party lines, but independent voters prefer a Democratic legislature. The poll, conducted by the L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs at Virginia Commonwealth University, collected data from a random sample of 801 Virginia residents by landline and cellphone interviews Sept. 23 to Oct. 4.

The poll shows that 46 percent of the 292 respondents identifying as independent want a Democratic General Assembly; 41 percent want a Republican General Assembly, with 13 percent refusing to respond or saying they do not know.

Overall, when asked about party control in the General Assembly, 47 percent of all respondents preferred Democratic candidates; 46 percent preferred Republican candidates, and 7 percent refused to respond or said they did not know. The margin of error for this poll was 4 percent.

In a press release from the Wilder School, former Gov. L. Douglas Wilder said the poll numbers are indicators of which issues are important to voters and seem to be more important than party affiliation.

Grant Fox, press secretary for the Democratic Party of Virginia, offered his take on the poll.

"It's clear from this poll that the Republican agenda has failed,” Fox said in an email. “Democratic priorities are popular across Virginia and key voters who will swing the election want a Democratic majority in the General Assembly.”

John Findlay, executive director of the Republican Party of Virginia, said in an email that the poll is a snapshot of information from three weeks ago and may not reflect voters’ current opinions. According to Findlay, millions of dollars have been spent on political campaigns since that time.

“If you don't think three weeks is a lifetime in politics, I suggest you talk to Hillary Clinton," he said.

Farrah Stone, poll director for the Wilder School, said polls can be used to show trends over time and every poll is a data point. The poll’s validity is based on how it captures the point in time that it was taken.

"Every single poll that is released is a snapshot,” she said. “That's just the nature of it."

In September, Democrats running for Senate seats outraised Republicans, $4.9 million to $2 million. In the House, Democrats outraised Republicans, $7.1 million to a little over $4 million.

Republicans currently hold a slim majority in both chambers of the General Assembly, and all 140 seats are up for grabs next month.

There are five key Senate races and 26 in the House of Delegates determined by a CNS analysis of competitive races, redistricting changes and recent voting trends on Virginia Public Access Project.

Election Day is Nov. 5.

(6) comments

Concerned citizen

I have read that Soros money is being funneled all the way down to local elections. He won't give up destroying this country until he has succeeded.

The leaders of our state are lucky they are Democrats. If they were Republicans, Antifa would be protesting and rioting until they were removed from office. Sad that both parties are not held to the same standards.

And for some reason the only thing Democrat candidates can do in their TV ads is just mud sling their opponents. They can't advertise what they intend to do if elected. I guess advertising turning this state and country into a commie/socialist mess wouldn't work out too good. I even saw an ad for a guy that stopped a process by Justin Fairfax's rape accusers; who is slamming his opponent for being anti-women. Haha, the hypocrisy continues to grow! It is obvious that ads like that are meant to appeal to liberal left-wingers; who only think with emotions, not facts.

John in Marshall

Too much out of state money is being funneled into democratic coffers. They're trying to buy our legislature.

The results of this polls small sample size , taken by a left leaning organization has to be questioned


The Democrat party is not democratic. They are Socialist or Communist if they take our guns.


There's only one thing that matters - your vote. Get out and vote. And vote for conservatism because it works wherever it's tried.


Real Virginians have had enough of the carpetbagging, illegal alien supporting, baby murdering left


A very very sad state of affairs if this state goes left. You have a wannabe black face baby killer as governor, an accused sexual predator as LT Governor and another admitted Black Face as an AG. All democrats!! An apathetic electorate will be the down fall of the Old Dominion. Sad, sad, sad. The world is upside down.

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